Round 5 of AFLW Competition Could Shake the Ladder

With Round 5 of the Toyota 2019 AFLW Premiership competition on the horizon, there does not seem to be much chance of the disparity between Conference A and Conference B achieving any sort of balance.

The only inter-conference game will be between Greater Western Sydney and Melbourne. Melbourne are 10.5-point favourites, but a look at the ladder suggests that neither club is going anywhere, although Sydney could certainly be viewed as the team with the most to gain.

If the Giants can win, and Collingwood could pull of a minor miracle and beat Carlton, the Giants will find their cause furthered, as their position in Conference B would improve a bit.

The Blues are favoured by 9.5-points over Collingwood, so a win by the Magpies might classify as something above minor miracle.

The game with a lot of interest will be the one between Brisbane and Geelong, as the winner will take the lead in Conference B. This one has the Lions as 9.5-point favourites and we are almost tempted to conclude that the bookmakers, in this case Ladbrokes, are stuck in a narrow range of spreads.

Fremantle will play Western Bulldogs, with the Dockers favoured by 8.5 points. A win by the Dogs would put them equal to the Dockers on the ladder and supply some delightful finals scenarios, especially if what appears to be THE game of the round, North Melbourne versus Adelaide, results in a win by Adelaide, there will be two clubs with four-win, one-loss records. Make that three clubs, should Fremantle beat Western Bulldogs.

Detractors of the newly minted conference system might not care for the fact that there is the potential for the best two clubs from Conference B to qualify for finals at the expense of two better clubs from Conference A.

Those of us with a more objective viewpoint think that things are unfolding in a tantalisingly delicious fashion. Just as is the case at times in the men’s game, the finals may come down to a decision based on percentages.